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Red60
85829.9
547016.7
525619.8
Blue116
207560.3
24445.8
76588.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7113305010015020060116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+34
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points18
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +16
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
49Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
60Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#22
29.90.8
28.427.6
Auto6.8
Teleop24.4
End-1.3
blue by 30.5
60.30.1
55.055.1
Auto16.9
Teleop33.5
End10.0
Second
5256
#31
19.80.8
20.619.8
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
blue by 26.0
244
#8
45.80.1
46.046.1
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End6.5
Third
5470
#35
16.70.8
17.516.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End1.7
red by 8.3
7658
#39
8.40.1
8.38.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned