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Red157
485535.3
496755.8
780918.5
Blue145
205471.2
1065427.4
781828.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11713650100150200157145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave9
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points34
23Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +32
21Coral scored#17
76Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
12Processor points12
32Net points16
44Algae points28
120Total teleop88
Reef
9L4#9
8L3#6
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
157Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.82.7
52.455.1
Auto12.8
Teleop36.1
End7.0
blue by 15.3
71.21.2
64.865.9
Auto20.9
Teleop42.2
End8.1
Second
4855
#16
35.32.7
32.435.0
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End2.3
red by 6.7
7818
#13
28.61.2
24.625.8
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
Third
7809
#25
18.52.7
15.818.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 8.9
27.41.2
21.022.2
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned