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Red118
923915.9
956631.6
839738.5
Blue111
781016.7
969715.5
438141.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11589406080100140160180118111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +12
19Coral scored#16
69Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
87Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#6
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
118Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.0
37.937.9
Auto7.0
Teleop23.3
End8.1
blue by 2.7
4381
#10
41.11.4
37.438.8
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Second
9566
#11
31.60.0
31.331.3
Auto6.2
Teleop22.8
End2.6
red by 14.9
7810
#36
16.71.4
14.616.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Third
9239
#15
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
red by 0.4
9697
#38
15.51.4
14.115.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed