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Red90
21625.6
780817.0
609036.9
Blue73
829720.7
967124.7
1066416.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956402040801201401609073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
11Coral scored#10
38Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
66Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
4Foul points0
90Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#20
36.90.1
36.236.3
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End2.5
red by 12.2
9671
#26
24.70.5
23.924.4
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End2.0
Second
216
#21
25.60.1
24.825.0
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End2.0
red by 4.9
8297
#23
20.70.5
20.220.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.7
Third
7808
#24
17.00.1
16.817.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End2.0
red by 0.7
16.30.5
15.716.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed