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Red109
1065427.4
207560.3
780817.0
Blue77
781828.6
1065119.3
609036.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95715015010977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave3
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points3
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
70Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#3
8L3#4
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
109Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.31.0
46.447.4
Auto16.9
Teleop33.5
End10.0
red by 23.5
6090
#20
36.90.2
28.027.8
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End2.5
Second
27.41.0
20.921.9
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
blue by 1.2
7818
#13
28.60.2
17.317.1
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
Third
7808
#24
17.01.0
10.511.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End2.0
blue by 2.4
19.30.2
17.116.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed