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Red66
387539.5
910629.0
90419.7
Blue53
1066416.3
525619.8
920616.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95630501506653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points31
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
54Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#2
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
66Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.51.3
38.236.9
Auto5.9
Teleop30.5
End3.1
red by 19.7
5256
#31
19.80.8
25.724.9
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
Second
9106
#34
29.01.3
21.920.7
Auto2.6
Teleop22.7
End3.7
red by 12.5
9206
#29
16.50.8
19.418.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End0.7
Third
904
#18
19.71.3
19.418.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.3
red by 3.4
16.30.8
13.712.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed