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Red72
967124.7
24445.8
1064219.5
Blue76
920832.5
76588.4
485535.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7874405060901001107276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
57Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
72Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#8
45.80.1
38.838.8
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End6.5
red by 10.4
4855
#16
35.30.6
33.233.8
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End2.3
Second
9671
#26
24.70.1
17.717.8
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End2.0
blue by 7.8
9208
#19
32.50.6
22.322.9
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End8.8
Third
19.50.1
14.514.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End1.7
red by 11.1
7658
#39
8.40.6
11.912.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned