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Red230
205471.2
1065427.4
207560.3
Blue139
828528.1
781828.6
920832.5
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1788950100150200250230139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+97Teleop
+91Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
0Leave3
12Coral scored#3
61Coral points16
61Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +55
33Coral scored#17
117Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
145Total teleop90
Reef
15L4#5
14L3#7
8L2#5
8L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +6
24Cage & park30
24Total endgame30
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points0
230Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.21.6
65.967.6
Auto20.9
Teleop42.2
End8.1
red by 38.6
9208
#19
32.51.0
29.730.7
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End8.8
Second
60.31.6
55.156.7
Auto16.9
Teleop33.5
End10.0
red by 31.7
7818
#13
28.61.0
25.826.7
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
Third
27.41.6
22.223.8
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
blue by 0.7
8285
#14
28.11.0
25.326.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End6.0