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Red202
205471.2
1065427.4
207560.3
Blue97
21625.6
839738.5
1063339.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1741075015020025020297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+83Teleop
+105Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave3
12Coral scored#5
61Coral points23
61Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +48
23Coral scored#14
81Coral points49
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
24Processor points12
12Net points8
36Algae points20
117Total teleop69
Reef
10L4#8
11L3#6
8L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +105
0Foul points0
202Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.21.2
67.668.8
Auto20.9
Teleop42.2
End8.1
red by 31.9
39.20.1
38.938.8
Auto3.5
Teleop33.9
End1.8
Second
60.31.2
56.757.9
Auto16.9
Teleop33.5
End10.0
red by 21.9
38.50.1
38.238.0
Auto7.0
Teleop23.3
End8.1
Third
27.41.2
23.825.0
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
red by 1.8
216
#21
25.60.1
25.325.2
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End2.0