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Red130
442245.8
781016.7
496755.8
Blue128
609036.9
28835.6
277141.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131125100120140160180130128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
7Coral scored#6
33Coral points30
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +7
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
83Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#8
5L3#5
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points6
130Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.80.3
54.855.2
Auto12.8
Teleop36.1
End7.0
red by 14.8
41.00.2
40.841.0
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End6.5
Second
45.80.3
44.845.1
Auto9.9
Teleop28.7
End7.2
red by 8.9
6090
#20
36.90.2
36.736.9
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End2.5
Third
7810
#36
16.70.3
15.716.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.4
blue by 18.8
288
#28
35.60.2
35.335.6
Auto6.0
Teleop25.4
End4.1