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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14312280100160180200137120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+19Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points27
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +5
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#7
12Processor points6
12Net points28
24Algae points34
79Total teleop74
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#3
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
137Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.0
59.859.9
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
red by 4.9
27
#5
55.10.0
54.654.6
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
Second
56.70.0
56.656.6
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
red by 11.4
494
#2
45.30.0
44.844.8
Auto9.2
Teleop27.3
End8.9
Third
4998
#22
19.80.0
19.719.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
blue by 1.2
5150
#27
21.00.0
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6