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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14412280100160180200148143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+19Teleop
Endgame+1
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +5
18Coral scored#18
64Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
92Total teleop87
Reef
9L4#8
8L3#7
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points0
148Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.1
59.960.0
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
red by 4.9
27
#5
55.10.5
54.655.1
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
Second
56.70.1
56.656.7
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
red by 11.4
494
#2
45.30.5
44.845.3
Auto9.2
Teleop27.3
End8.9
Third
4998
#22
19.80.1
19.719.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
blue by 1.2
5150
#27
21.00.5
20.521.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6