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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778340601001208645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+45Teleop
+47Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
1Coral points3
10Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +41
12Coral scored#3
44Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
58Total teleop17
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
12Foul points18
86Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
45.30.1
33.934.0
Auto9.2
Teleop27.3
End8.9
blue by 9.8
27
#5
55.15.7
41.035.3
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
Second
5235
#37
12.60.1
16.616.7
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 15.4
1504
#26
27.95.7
17.011.3
Auto4.5
Teleop21.8
End1.6
Third
4994
#31
12.30.1
17.017.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.1
red by 1.6
5697
#30
10.65.7
14.89.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned