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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6746020801001201401602640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +1
2Coral scored#1
6Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
6Total teleop5
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
8Foul points6
26Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9207
#25
20.24.4
22.618.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End2.5
red by 2.0
9757
#13
18.21.0
16.015.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3
Second
1
#15
18.94.4
21.817.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.6
red by 2.7
16.21.0
13.312.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Third
11.84.4
13.59.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
blue by 1.9
5234
#38
13.71.0
13.812.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned