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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675602040801001207382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+5Teleop
+15Endgame
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +3
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
37Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points24
73Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.71.7
31.132.8
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
red by 28.6
28.10.1
20.620.7
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
Second
7195
#16
17.91.7
18.620.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
blue by 7.7
8193
#18
25.60.1
17.517.6
Auto4.7
Teleop19.0
End2.0
Third
9697
#36
10.81.7
8.410.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 4.3
6631
#28
15.10.1
12.913.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed