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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92750501502002504173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
6Coral scored#11
23Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
31Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
41Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#24
30.14.8
29.524.7
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End2.2
blue by 5.3
9245
#11
35.40.4
25.525.9
Auto4.6
Teleop26.4
End4.3
Second
3534
#29
25.14.8
28.323.5
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
blue by 3.6
28.70.4
16.617.1
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End7.4
Third
5641
#21
23.94.8
20.415.6
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End2.4
blue by 0.5
5084
#19
24.40.4
23.924.4
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed