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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8873204060801001206783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points16
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +11
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
37Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
6Foul points24
67Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#9
37.41.5
34.833.3
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
red by 6.1
573
#7
31.30.6
27.126.5
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End4.0
Second
4998
#22
19.81.5
22.621.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
blue by 7.3
9648
#14
27.10.6
17.416.8
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
Third
17.31.5
17.415.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End2.1
blue by 8.7
7784
#10
26.10.6
19.719.1
Auto6.3
Teleop17.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned