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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006305015010716

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+89Teleop
+91Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +72
16Coral scored#2
56Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
80Total teleop8
Reef
8L4#1
6L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points0
107Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.02.2
41.643.8
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
red by 36.5
7491
#32
23.54.7
23.618.9
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Second
2145
#12
40.92.2
28.730.9
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
red by 28.6
4994
#31
12.34.7
21.717.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Third
9757
#13
18.22.2
13.816.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3
red by 10.6
5260
#39
7.64.7
13.08.3
Auto0.1
Teleop4.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed