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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988305015010258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#5
49Coral points17
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
69Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
12Foul points0
102Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.2
43.844.0
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
red by 19.1
2145
#12
40.92.2
30.928.7
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
Second
28.10.2
20.720.9
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
red by 3.0
3534
#29
25.12.2
23.521.4
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Third
4998
#22
19.80.2
21.121.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
blue by 3.6
6067
#17
23.42.2
20.218.1
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed