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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64642040801008264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+36Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +21
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
55Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points18
82Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#9
37.41.9
33.335.2
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
red by 2.0
9245
#11
35.40.9
25.925.0
Auto4.6
Teleop26.4
End4.3
Second
9207
#25
20.21.9
18.220.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End2.5
red by 2.8
17.30.9
15.915.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Third
9697
#36
10.81.9
10.112.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 5.3
16.20.9
12.311.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed