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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48700204060801001201402680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+42
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +35
3Coral scored#10
10Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
16Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
26Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
#15
18.92.5
17.314.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.6
blue by 26.4
494
#2
45.31.6
34.035.6
Auto9.2
Teleop27.3
End8.9
Second
5235
#37
12.62.5
16.714.2
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 13.1
8193
#18
25.61.6
17.619.2
Auto4.7
Teleop19.0
End2.0
Third
5697
#30
10.62.5
9.16.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
red by 3.1
5260
#39
7.61.6
8.39.9
Auto0.1
Teleop4.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned