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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86550204010012014016011152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+67Teleop
+65Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +50
16Coral scored#4
56Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
74Total teleop24
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points6
111Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.73.4
32.836.2
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
red by 38.5
9757
#13
18.21.3
15.013.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3
Second
70
#8
46.13.4
29.933.4
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
red by 28.2
7195
#16
17.91.3
20.219.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Third
5282
#40
12.73.4
11.414.8
Auto1.8
Teleop9.0
End1.9
red by 0.5
4994
#31
12.31.3
17.015.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned