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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966302040801201401609547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+50Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +46
16Coral scored#6
57Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
77Total teleop31
Reef
9L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
95Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.9
44.044.9
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
red by 29.9
245
#24
30.11.8
24.722.9
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End2.2
Second
7784
#10
26.10.9
19.120.0
Auto6.3
Teleop17.2
End2.5
red by 5.1
5150
#27
21.01.8
20.118.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Third
6067
#17
23.40.9
18.118.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End1.5
red by 9.7
5234
#38
13.71.8
12.811.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed