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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645401001502002503637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +3
3Coral scored#4
10Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
14Total teleop17
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points2
36Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#26
27.92.3
11.39.0
Auto4.5
Teleop21.8
End1.6
blue by 0.8
28.71.5
17.115.5
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End7.4
Second
894
#23
25.12.3
20.918.6
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End0.8
blue by 2.0
9648
#14
27.11.5
16.815.3
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
Third
5084
#19
24.42.3
24.422.1
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 11.9
8385
#20
12.61.5
14.713.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed