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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9275020406010012014016010793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+20Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +23
16Coral scored#11
59Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
87Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#5
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
107Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
45.31.8
35.637.4
Auto9.2
Teleop27.3
End8.9
blue by 0.8
70
#8
46.11.5
33.434.9
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
Second
9245
#11
35.41.8
25.026.8
Auto4.6
Teleop26.4
End4.3
red by 7.2
28.11.5
20.922.4
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
Third
7195
#16
17.91.8
19.020.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
blue by 0.3
9757
#13
18.21.5
13.715.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed