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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575302040801001201401603440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
6Coral scored#6
20Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
24Total teleop27
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
2Foul points0
34Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9207
#25
20.22.1
20.118.0
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 5.0
3534
#29
25.10.9
21.420.4
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Second
5282
#40
12.72.1
14.812.7
Auto1.8
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 4.6
17.30.9
15.014.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Third
4994
#31
12.32.1
15.713.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.1
red by 1.4
9697
#36
10.80.9
12.011.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed