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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5942020801001201405031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
+11Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
5Coral scored#3
18Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
26Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
8Foul points0
50Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9648
#14
27.11.1
15.314.2
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
red by 1.0
7784
#10
26.11.0
20.019.0
Auto6.3
Teleop17.2
End2.5
Second
5084
#19
24.41.1
22.121.0
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 11.9
8385
#20
12.61.0
13.212.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End3.4
Third
1
#15
18.91.1
14.913.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.6
red by 8.3
5697
#30
10.61.0
6.65.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed