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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7459020401001201407860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points33
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
65Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
78Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#24
30.10.1
26.226.3
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End2.2
red by 4.4
8193
#18
25.61.1
23.522.4
Auto4.7
Teleop19.0
End2.0
Second
894
#23
25.10.1
17.517.6
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End0.8
red by 1.6
7491
#32
23.51.1
15.914.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Third
7195
#16
17.90.1
17.117.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
red by 7.0
9697
#36
10.81.1
13.112.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed