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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7173204060801001209127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
10Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +44
13Coral scored#3
45Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
55Total teleop11
Reef
6L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
12Foul points6
91Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#11
35.40.6
24.925.5
Auto4.6
Teleop26.4
End4.3
red by 16.5
1
#15
18.94.5
26.321.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.6
Second
5641
#21
23.90.6
19.820.4
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End2.4
red by 7.8
16.25.6
18.913.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Third
5150
#27
21.00.6
20.020.6
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
red by 5.9
6631
#28
15.14.5
17.412.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed