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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677520406010012014084118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
12Coral scored#17
43Coral points62
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
71Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
84Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8193
#18
25.60.3
25.125.5
Auto4.7
Teleop19.0
End2.0
blue by 5.6
573
#7
31.33.3
25.829.1
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End4.0
Second
894
#23
25.10.3
20.721.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End0.8
blue by 2.9
1504
#26
27.93.3
23.727.0
Auto4.5
Teleop21.8
End1.6
Third
17.30.3
16.316.6
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End2.1
blue by 2.8
9207
#25
20.23.3
16.519.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed