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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5610020408012014078102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
45Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
2Foul points12
78Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9648
#14
27.11.5
21.122.6
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
blue by 19.1
70
#8
46.10.3
43.844.1
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
Second
3534
#29
25.11.5
22.824.3
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
blue by 3.6
28.70.3
27.027.3
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End7.4
Third
6631
#28
15.11.5
15.316.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
blue by 3.8
1
#15
18.90.3
16.116.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned