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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88744060801001201407452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
10Coral scored#6
36Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
50Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points2
74Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#11
35.40.2
32.131.8
Auto4.6
Teleop26.4
End4.3
blue by 5.5
2145
#12
40.91.7
38.636.9
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
Second
245
#24
30.10.2
26.726.5
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End2.2
red by 9.1
5150
#27
21.01.7
18.016.3
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Third
9757
#13
18.20.2
17.817.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3
red by 7.6
5697
#30
10.61.7
12.610.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed