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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94105608012014016096143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+17
Endgame+21
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +10
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points41
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
61Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points26
96Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
55.11.2
48.549.7
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
blue by 1.7
56.71.4
55.256.6
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
Second
5641
#21
23.91.2
22.623.8
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End2.4
red by 0.5
7491
#32
23.51.4
17.819.1
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Third
9697
#36
10.81.2
11.112.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 9.0
4998
#22
19.81.4
16.517.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned