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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63482040801001207048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
54Total teleop29
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
70Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5084
#19
24.40.6
22.122.7
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 6.5
7195
#16
17.90.5
17.316.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Second
6067
#17
23.40.6
21.021.7
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End1.5
red by 10.7
5282
#40
12.70.5
13.913.4
Auto1.8
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Third
11.80.6
10.811.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
blue by 0.8
5235
#37
12.60.5
10.610.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed