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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5455354045506065704831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+19Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
8Coral scored#3
28Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
32Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
48Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.3
27.226.9
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
red by 2.0
7784
#10
26.11.7
28.526.7
Auto6.3
Teleop17.2
End2.5
Second
16.20.3
14.414.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
red by 2.5
5234
#38
13.71.7
14.112.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End4.2
Third
4994
#31
12.30.3
9.99.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.1
red by 4.7
5260
#39
7.61.7
7.76.0
Auto0.1
Teleop4.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed