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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771292040601001201401601809194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+15
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points14
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
56Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
91Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#8
46.11.3
42.543.8
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
blue by 13.9
60.02.0
58.156.1
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
Second
9648
#14
27.11.3
19.821.1
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
blue by 4.2
573
#7
31.32.0
27.825.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End4.0
Third
9207
#25
20.21.3
15.216.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 9.9
245
#24
30.12.0
28.726.7
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed