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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291076080100120140160180136126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+14Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points30
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
17Coral scored#17
62Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
94Total teleop90
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
136Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
55.11.6
47.048.5
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
blue by 1.7
56.72.2
53.155.2
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
Second
2145
#12
40.91.6
37.038.6
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
red by 12.9
1504
#26
27.92.2
21.523.7
Auto4.5
Teleop21.8
End1.6
Third
9245
#11
35.41.6
30.532.1
Auto4.6
Teleop26.4
End4.3
red by 9.7
8193
#18
25.62.2
23.025.1
Auto4.7
Teleop19.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed