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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4356020801001203960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+19
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
2Coral scored#5
8Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
14Total teleop36
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#10
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points2
39Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.2
16.516.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End2.1
blue by 2.5
4998
#22
19.80.8
15.716.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Second
5235
#37
12.60.2
10.810.6
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 5.6
9757
#13
18.20.8
17.017.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3
Third
8385
#20
12.60.2
11.110.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End3.4
blue by 2.6
6631
#28
15.10.8
14.515.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed