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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8379506070901001101209799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
64Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points6
97Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
45.31.7
40.742.4
Auto9.2
Teleop27.3
End8.9
red by 19.3
7784
#10
26.11.7
26.828.5
Auto6.3
Teleop17.2
End2.5
Second
5641
#21
23.91.7
20.922.6
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End2.4
blue by 1.2
3534
#29
25.11.7
21.122.8
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Third
11.81.7
9.110.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
blue by 13.3
894
#23
25.11.7
19.120.7
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned