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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33550204060801003789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+52
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +34
3Coral scored#9
12Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
16Total teleop50
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
6Foul points24
37Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.3
14.814.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
blue by 8.2
5084
#19
24.41.5
20.622.1
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6
Second
9697
#36
10.80.3
11.511.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 10.1
5150
#27
21.01.5
16.618.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Third
5260
#39
7.60.3
8.07.7
Auto0.1
Teleop4.4
End3.0
blue by 5.2
5282
#40
12.71.5
12.413.9
Auto1.8
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
4%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed