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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567520401001205993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
33Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
59Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7491
#32
23.50.5
17.217.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End3.1
blue by 13.9
910
#9
37.41.9
34.136.0
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
Second
7195
#16
17.90.5
16.717.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
blue by 5.5
6067
#17
23.41.9
19.121.0
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End1.5
Third
5234
#38
13.70.5
13.614.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End4.2
red by 3.1
5697
#30
10.61.9
10.612.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned