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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827120406010012014010274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+38Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points15
26Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +27
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
70Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
102Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.02.6
55.458.1
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
red by 31.3
28.70.4
26.627.0
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End7.4
Second
1
#15
18.92.5
13.616.1
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.6
blue by 9.2
28.10.4
26.827.2
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
Third
4994
#31
12.32.5
7.49.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.1
blue by 5.1
17.30.5
16.016.5
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned