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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645102040801001208860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+16Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#9
30Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
52Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
12Foul points0
88Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#7
31.31.9
25.927.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End4.0
red by 7.3
5641
#21
23.90.6
20.320.9
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End2.4
Second
9757
#13
18.21.9
15.217.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3
blue by 2.0
9207
#25
20.20.6
14.615.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Third
8385
#20
12.61.9
9.211.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End3.4
Level
5235
#37
12.60.6
10.210.8
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed