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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99692040608012014016011378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
17Coral scored#11
60Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
78Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#6
8L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points0
113Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#8
46.10.8
41.642.5
Auto7.5
Teleop32.7
End5.9
red by 10.8
9245
#11
35.40.5
30.030.5
Auto4.6
Teleop26.4
End4.3
Second
7784
#10
26.10.8
25.926.8
Auto6.3
Teleop17.2
End2.5
red by 0.4
8193
#18
25.60.5
22.423.0
Auto4.7
Teleop19.0
End2.0
Third
4998
#22
19.80.8
14.815.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
red by 8.0
11.80.5
8.69.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned