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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63882040801001201407279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +7
9Coral scored#7
33Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
45Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +8
8Cage & park16
8Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
72Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#12
40.91.4
35.637.0
Auto12.9
Teleop27.9
End0.1
blue by 4.5
494
#2
45.30.4
41.140.7
Auto9.2
Teleop27.3
End8.9
Second
5234
#38
13.71.4
12.313.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End4.2
blue by 10.7
5084
#19
24.40.4
21.020.6
Auto4.4
Teleop17.4
End2.6
Third
5282
#40
12.71.4
11.012.4
Auto1.8
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 2.4
6631
#28
15.10.4
14.914.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned