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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614902040801001207132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+39Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
7Coral scored#3
25Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
35Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
20Foul points0
71Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.5
27.326.8
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
red by 1.0
9648
#14
27.11.8
21.619.8
Auto6.1
Teleop17.6
End3.4
Second
7195
#16
17.90.5
17.216.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.0
blue by 3.1
5150
#27
21.01.8
18.316.6
Auto4.5
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Third
5697
#30
10.60.5
11.110.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
blue by 1.6
4994
#31
12.31.8
9.27.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed