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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636620408010010995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
17Coral scored#13
61Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
81Total teleop68
Reef
9L4#5
3L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points12
109Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.75.2
21.426.6
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End7.4
blue by 1.4
245
#24
30.12.5
26.328.7
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End2.2
Second
1504
#26
27.95.2
16.321.5
Auto4.5
Teleop21.8
End1.6
red by 4.4
7491
#32
23.52.5
14.817.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Third
3534
#29
25.15.2
15.921.1
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.9
red by 9.0
16.22.5
12.314.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed