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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568802040801001201401607183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
52Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
71Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#9
37.41.5
32.634.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.5
End4.3
blue by 17.7
27
#5
55.10.5
46.547.0
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End7.7
Second
894
#23
25.11.5
17.619.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End0.8
red by 1.7
6067
#17
23.40.5
18.619.1
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End1.5
Third
5260
#39
7.61.5
6.68.0
Auto0.1
Teleop4.4
End3.0
blue by 11.3
1
#15
18.90.5
13.113.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed