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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1053105015012551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+78Teleop
+80Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
19Coral scored#7
68Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
82Total teleop28
Reef
10L4#3
7L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
10Cage & park8
10Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points6
125Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.72.2
50.953.1
Auto16.7
Teleop35.1
End4.9
red by 43.0
5234
#38
13.70.6
12.912.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End4.2
Second
7784
#10
26.12.4
23.625.9
Auto6.3
Teleop17.2
End2.5
red by 13.5
5235
#37
12.60.6
10.910.2
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Third
9757
#13
18.22.4
12.815.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.3
red by 7.3
9697
#36
10.80.6
12.111.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed