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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69942040608012014078123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+47
Endgame+31
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
9Coral scored#17
34Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
50Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#4
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#26
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points14
78Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#11
35.41.6
28.430.0
Auto4.6
Teleop26.4
End4.3
blue by 24.6
60.02.9
52.655.4
Auto16.2
Teleop42.7
End1.1
Second
28.11.6
25.727.3
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End2.8
red by 4.2
5641
#21
23.92.9
17.420.3
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End2.4
Third
5282
#40
12.71.6
9.411.0
Auto1.8
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 4.6
17.32.9
13.116.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned